Plantation, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

584
FXUS62 KMFL 081910
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
310 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1235 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

Latest sfc analyses and ensemble solutions show a frontal
boundary slowly drifting into SoFlo. The pre-frontal band of
convection is clearly seen on radar and satellite imagery, along
with winds shifting SW/W just ahead of the front. Deep layer
moisture is now in place across the area with 12Z MFL sounding
showing PWATs in the 1.8- 1.9 inches range, well in the 80th-90th
percentile for the season. 500 mb temps remain around -11C, MUCAPE
around 1K j/kg, and CAMs shows potential for deeper convection to
develop at times.

With a robust moderate westerly flow in place, most showers have
been relatively fast-moving in nature, and although the heavy
downpours experienced so far seem copious, accumulations seem to
remain around half an inch or so. Nevertheless, overall coverage has
expanded across the whole CWA and POP/Wx grids will be updated to
reflect the area-wide nature of the shower activity.

With the prevailing cloud cover and rain activity, forecast high
temperatures are expected to remain in the low to mid 70s across
much of the northern areas, and upper 70s to mid 80s further south.

Cloud cover gradually decreases as the front finally moves into the
Florida Keys later tonight, with cooler/drier air arriving from the
north in the wake of the FROPA. Morning lows will range from the low
to middle 50s across inland southwestern Florida, upper 50s across
the gulf coast metro, and low 60s across the eastern half of the
region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 238 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

In general, mid level longwave troughing remains in place over
the region heading into Thursday. Low pressure will continue to
pull further away from the region into the western Atlantic as a
weak area of high pressure pushes in from the Gulf. With a west
northwesterly wind flow aloft, this will continue to bring in dry
air to the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere. At the surface,
winds will veer and become northeasterly as the day progresses.
This will help to promote some lower level moisture advection
especially across the eastern half of the region. This will be
just enough moisture to support isolated shower activity along the
northeasterly breeze over the Atlantic waters and the eastern
half of South Florida. With plenty of dry air aloft, any shower
that develops will be low topped and short lived. High
temperatures on Thursday will generally range from around 80 along
the east coast to the lower to mid 80s across Southwest Florida.

Moving into Friday and Friday night, the weather pattern will be
in a transitioning state once again as an amplifying mid level
shortwave dives down and pushes across the Eastern Seaboard. At
the surface, a broad area of low pressure will push through the
Mid-Atlantic states and slowly into the western Atlantic during
this time frame. The cold front associated with this system will
be pushing through the Southeast and Northern Florida through
Friday afternoon. As this front pushes through the rest of the
Florida Peninsula on Friday night and into the Florida Keys early
Saturday, it will rapidly weaken as most of the dynamics as well
as the mid to upper level support races well off to the northeast
of the region. With rather dry air in place ahead of this front,
most of the region will remain dry as it passes through South
Florida on Friday night, however, a slight chance of showers
cannot be completely ruled out right along the boundary as it
passes through. High temperatures on Friday will generally range
from the lower 80s along the east coast to the mid to upper 80s
across the interior portions of Southwest Florida.

Heading into the upcoming weekend and early next week, a much
drier and cooler air mass will push into the region as strong high
pressure builds into South Florida from the northwest. With north
to northwesterly wind flow remaining in place through most of the
weekend, cold air advection could keep temperatures below
climatological normals during this time frame. The significant
shot of drier air could also cause the minimum relative humidity
values to plummet heading into Saturday and Sunday afternoon.
This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

Moderate SW/W winds will veer NW/N tonight behind a cold front
passage. In the mean time, scattered to numerous showers with
embedded thunderstorms may still bring periods of MVFR/IFR cigs/vis,
along with an occasional strong wind gust, through around 02Z. VFR
should gradually return overnight as cloud cover gradually decreases
and cigs lift.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

Winds around 10-12kt may become gusty at times with passing showers
and thunderstorms associated with a frontal passage. Behind the
front, surface winds will shift to NW-N 10-15 knots tonight. A
moderate northerly swell should reach the Atlantic waters on
Thursday morning, which will likely build seas to small craft
advisory levels during that time frame.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 114 AM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

The rip current risk will increase along the Gulf beaches tonight
this morning and persist rough Wednesday due to moderate
westerly/onshore winds. The rip current risk will then increase at
the Atlantic beaches mid to late week as a combination of
northeasterly winds and a moderate northerly swell affect the local
waters. Surf could become locally elevated Wednesday and Thursday,
especially along the Palm Beach County coast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            66  81  66  81 /  70  20  20  20
West Kendall     63  83  63  85 /  60  20  10  20
Opa-Locka        65  82  65  84 /  70  20  20  20
Homestead        65  81  64  83 /  60  20  10  20
Fort Lauderdale  65  79  66  80 /  70  30  20  20
N Ft Lauderdale  66  79  66  80 /  60  30  20  20
Pembroke Pines   66  84  67  86 /  60  20  20  20
West Palm Beach  65  78  64  80 /  70  20  20  20
Boca Raton       65  81  65  81 /  60  20  20  20
Naples           63  81  62  83 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....CWC
AVIATION...17